Brexit Comments 1 As of date of publication, a compendium of comments, some of them wise...

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As of date of publication, a compendium of comments, some of them wise...

Brexit has not worked

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14/02/2025  #brexit #outsideviews #uk

The topic of the day is: Brexit reality check

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Brexit did not happen immediately after the Brexit referendum in 2016. There were exhausting negotiations between the UK and the EU first about the exit of the UK and then about the future relationship between the EU and the UK.

After the official Brexit on January 31st in 2020, where the UK officially left the EU and with it the Parliament, there was a transitional period until December 31st in 2020 to implement the new relationship.

There are some longer transitional periods for some areas, but this was the main one.

People are talking a lot about the level of preparation for Brexit on different sides or the lack of.

#brexit

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1 pessoa

Nigel Farage

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My comment: 

0:00

[Music]

0:08

hello and welcome back to outside views

0:10

today we take another deep dive into the

0:12

undeniable reality that brexit has not

0:15

worked it has been 5 years since Britain

0:18

left the European Union and the economic

0:21

political and social consequences are

0:24

impossible to ignore that's why I make

0:26

so much so many videos on that Jubilee

0:29

this time and the grand Promises of

0:31

brexit support is never materialized and

0:33

the nation is now grappling with

0:35

stagnation declining trade and Rising

0:37

costs for many who voted to leave the

0:40

brexit dream has turned into a

0:43

nightmare but let's start with the

0:46

economy brexit was supposed to bring

0:49

Prosperity but instead it has left

0:51

Britain poorer the office for Budget

0:55

responsibility estimates that brexit has

0:57

reduced the UK's GDP by 4% in the long

1:00

term equivalent to around1 billion

1:03

pounds and this decline is not just an

1:05

abstract number it affects real people

1:08

real businesses and real

1:10

livelihoods investment in Britain is

1:12

plummeted trade has suffered and

1:14

businesses are struggling under the

1:15

weight of brexit induced

1:18

bureaucracy before brexit exporting to

1:21

the EU was seamless with Goods moving

1:23

freely without additional costs or

1:25

delays now British businesses must

1:28

navigate extensive paperwork work

1:30

Customs declarations and Border checks

1:34

and for many small and medium-sized

1:36

Enterprises this has made EU trade

1:38

simply

1:39

unviable and a study by the London

1:41

School of Economics found that six

1:44

16,400 British firms have stopped

1:46

trading with the EU allog together I

1:48

cited that

1:49

before and um I took another example

1:53

some time ago that was the round Corner

1:56

Brewery in

1:58

2018 exporting to the EU was cheap and

2:01

and simple they just paid 2020 per

2:04

shipment but now with the extra

2:06

paperwork and the logistic challenges

2:08

the shame same shipments have become so

2:11

expensive that they cannot justify this

2:13

anymore and that's not an isolated case

2:17

thousands of businesses across the UK

2:18

face the same predicament the so-called

2:21

Global Britain strategy which was meant

2:23

to open doors to New Markets has failed

2:27

and despite efforts to sign new trade

2:29

deals none have come close to replacing

2:32

the economic benefits of the EU single

2:35

market and trade agreements with

2:38

Australia New Zealand and the famous

2:42

cptpp have been touted as brexit wins

2:46

but in reality their impact on the

2:48

economy is negligible compared to the

2:50

losses suffered from reduced EU

2:53

trade and a free trade deal with the

2:55

United States once a major brexit

2:57

selling point remains elusive

3:00

and with Donald Trump now in the White

3:02

House the UK now faces the threat on

3:05

tariffs on British

3:08

goods the simple fact is that no trade

3:11

deal can replicate the frictionless

3:13

access Britain once had to the European

3:17

market and then there's the cost of

3:20

living crisis food prices have soared by

3:22

25% since brexit driven by increased

3:25

import cost supply chain disruptions and

3:28

a weaker pound and supermarkets have

3:31

struggled with shortages of fresh

3:33

produce and British consumers are paying

3:36

the price at the checkout

3:38

now brexit has compounded inflationary

3:41

pressures making everyday essentials

3:44

more expensive and the people who were

3:47

promised Financial relief from brexit

3:50

are now paying more just to put food on

3:53

the

3:54

table and let's not forget immigration

3:57

the topic of the last week one of the

4:00

central Arguments for brexit was taking

4:02

control of Britain's borders the Lea

4:04

campaign promised lower migration levels

4:06

and what does it look like today yeah

4:09

record high levels in 23 alone net

4:11

migration reached

4:13

96,000 and that's far higher than

4:15

pre-brexit levels and the reason brexit

4:18

ended free movement from the EU but

4:21

Britain still needs workers and instead

4:23

of Europeans businesses now rely on

4:26

migration from India Nigeria and the

4:28

Philippines to fill critical labor

4:30

shortages and sectors like healthc care

4:34

Agriculture and Hospitality which once

4:36

depended on EU workers are now

4:38

struggling to

4:40

recruit and this has led to to Staffing

4:43

crisis in the NHS with hospitals and

4:46

Care Homes unable to find enough nurses

4:49

and

4:50

doctors and despite all the rhetoric

4:52

about sovereignty and control Britain's

4:55

immigration system is now more complex

4:58

more expensive and more inefficient than

5:02

before the political landscape has also

5:04

been shaken by brexit the brexit debate

5:07

shattered traditional party lines and

5:10

fueled the rise of right-wing populism

5:13

Nigel farage's reform UK is now gaining

5:17

traction capitalizing on voter

5:20

frustration many brexit supporters feel

5:23

betrayed believing that leaving the you

5:25

did not bring the benefits they were

5:27

promised and meanwhile the labor

5:30

government under Kia stama is walking a

5:33

tight rope stama has acknowledged that

5:36

brexit has failed but remains unwilling

5:40

to discuss joining the EU again instead

5:43

he focuses on improving relations with

5:45

Brussels while avoiding the toxic debate

5:49

over re-entry and labor strategy is

5:51

clear stabilize Britain's economy by

5:54

repairing ties with Europe but without

5:57

reopening the wounds of brexit yeah

5:59

Square saring the circle for the public

6:02

brexit fatigue has set in because the

6:04

majority of Britains now believe leaving

6:05

the EU was a mistake and polls

6:07

consistently show that more than 55% of

6:11

the population regret the

6:13

decision and yet despite this shift in

6:16

public opinion there is no political

6:18

momentum for joining the EU

6:21

again and the reality is that

6:24

brexit has locked Britain into a weaker

6:27

economic position with no clear power to

6:30

recovery the country is caught in a

6:32

brexit Purgatory unable to go back yet

6:35

struggling to move

6:37

forward so what did Britain gain from

6:39

brexit well this answer remains unclear

6:42

sovereignty yeah but at what cost the

6:46

economy is weaker trade has shrunk

6:48

businesses are struggling and living

6:49

costs are rising and instead of the

6:52

golden future promised by brexit

6:54

campaigners Britain is paying a steep

6:56

price for its decision to leave the

6:59

European union and while politicians

7:03

refuse to talk about

7:05

rejoining the long-term consequences of

7:08

brexit continue to

7:10

unfold but the question is how long can

7:13

Britain afford to ignore reality how

7:16

much more damage must be done before

7:19

leaders acknowledge the failure of

7:22

brexit the country is now at a

7:25

Crossroads and the decisions made in the

7:27

coming years will determine whether

7:30

Britain continues to decline or finds a

7:33

way to rebuild its economic

7:35

strength but one thing is certain brexit

7:39

has not worked and it is time for

7:42

Britain to face that truth thank you for

7:46

joining outside views and if you found

7:48

this analysis insightful don't forget to

7:50

like subscribe and share your thoughts

7:53

in the comments below the video see you

7:54

next time and the next video is right

7:56

here in the end screen

Realistically the UK must complete its trade deals to fill in the gaps, even on very unfavourable terms from Greenland, through  to the USA, Mercosur, Turkey, India, all of Africa, and even, with the ceasefires, to Russia, China, Palestine, Iran, North Korea, etc,etc. Unilaterally removing all import barriers that it legally can through unilateral action, as a preliminary to permanent deals. Such goodwill gestures worked spectacularly well, resulting in huge amounts of recipricocity for Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, etc, especially after the UK ended Commonwealth preference when it entered the EEC, much more than replacing the losses. This should be done with Trumpian speed, aiming to get everything in place by June 1st 2025, with constant monitoring and 6 month reviews, and monthly interim internal monitoring reviews. All foreign standards should be accepted, provided the goods are clearly labelled. Likewise for services. Emergency suspension ability should remain in place, and be extendable to anything to deal with health and safety concerns. There should be a massive increase in internal inspection capacity and full, ultra fast inspection.

Simultaneously tax breaks are required and proper support to foster the setting up of trading cooperatives that remove all bureaucratic costs and administrative barriers to businesses, with automatic 120% compensation for those schemes for an interim period,funded out of a luxury goods VAT tax increase, with compensation for small businesses in the luxury goods areas built in. 

EU-Mediterranean partnership should be immediately joined. Free movement with the Anglosphere encouraged through the unilateral removal of visa requirements for workers who are citizens of CANZUK countries and of the USA and of countries with a higher average income than the UK.

Fully compliant, multi-stage referenda can be applied in the interim, with full voting rights for all affected parties, unlike the previous time, so that a deal commanding the permanent support of the majority of the population can be arrived at. This must be accompanied by carefully phased constitutional reform, building on the House of Lords hereditary peers abolition bill currently going through Parliament, and subsequent measures to remove the inbuilt Conservative and Unionist Party majority from the House of Lords and replace it with a Starmerite majority, followed by regional and national representation reform and finally House of Commons reform and then media reform, and referendum legislation reform. All ensuring that it is impossible for the Tories and other pro-Brexit parties to ever win again and impose anything unless an absolute majority of the electorate consistently demands it. 

Of course there has been no fully legal or legitimate rule in England and its successor states since the false coronation of the Romanist heretic William the Bastard on 25th December 1066, usurping the [True] Orthodox [and Catholic ]Christian King of England, Edgar II the Atheling.  But, until such time as a restoration takes place, these interim measures, as of necessity, or something very much like them, is the best that can be achieved. 

With so many variables the probability of failure is extremely high.

I won´t reply to negative commentaries. Adrian the Atheling, has spoken. There is plenty of knowledge outside the only True Church, which is to be found here: www.trueorthodox.eu, but no wisdom. I am one of the very few people in it. That does not mean that I am wise about everything, of course. But it does leave open the possibility, and indeed probability in some instances, and certainty in many other cases, that I am wise about something, and correct about it (e.g.as the Nicene-Constantinoplean Creed says: the Holy Spirit proceeds from the Father. It does not say "the Holy Spirit proceeds from the Father and the Son". As decided by the 2nd Ecumenical Synod. And subsequently confirmed by all subsequent Ecumenical Synods, 3-10, the final one being in 1484).  The wisdom of the cross is foolishness to those perishing, as St.John Chrysostom said. Just in case you think you would be "right" to reject this wisdom.

Realistically the UK must complete its trade deals to fill in the gaps, even on very unfavourable terms from Greenland, through  to the USA, Mercosur, Turkey, India, all of Africa, and even, with the ceasefires, to Russia, China, Palestine, Iran, North Korea, etc,etc. Unilaterally removing all import barriers that it legally can through unilateral action, as a preliminary to permanent deals. Such goodwill gestures worked spectacularly well, resulting in huge amounts of recipricocity for Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, etc, especially after the UK ended Commonwealth preference when it entered the EEC, much more than replacing the losses. This should be done with Trumpian speed, aiming to get everything in place by June 1st 2025, with constant monitoring and 6 month reviews, and monthly interim internal monitoring reviews. All foreign standards should be accepted, provided the goods are clearly labelled. Likewise for services. Emergency suspension ability should remain in place, and be extendable to anything to deal with health and safety concerns. There should be a massive increase in internal inspection capacity and full, ultra fast inspection.

Simultaneously tax breaks are required and proper support to foster the setting up of trading cooperatives that remove all bureaucratic costs and administrative barriers to businesses, with automatic 120% compensation for those schemes for an interim period,funded out of a luxury goods VAT tax increase, with compensation for small businesses in the luxury goods areas built in. 

EU-Mediterranean partnership should be immediately joined. Free movement with the Anglosphere encouraged through the unilateral removal of visa requirements for workers who are citizens of CANZUK countries and of the USA and of countries with a higher average income than the UK.

Fully compliant, multi-stage referenda can be applied in the interim, with full voting rights for all affected parties, unlike the previous time, so that a deal commanding the permanent support of the majority of the population can be arrived at. This must be accompanied by carefully phased constitutional reform, building on the House of Lords hereditary peers abolition bill currently going through Parliament, and subsequent measures to remove the inbuilt Conservative and Unionist Party majority from the House of Lords and replace it with a Starmerite majority, followed by regional and national representation reform and finally House of Commons reform and then media reform, and referendum legislation reform. All ensuring that it is impossible for the Tories and other pro-Brexit parties to ever win again and impose anything unless an absolute majority of the electorate consistently demands it. 

Of course there has been no fully legal or legitimate rule in England and its successor states since the false coronation of the Romanist heretic William the Bastard on 25th December 1066, usurping the [True] Orthodox [and Catholic ]Christian King of England, Edgar II the Atheling.  But, until such time as a restoration takes place, these interim measures, as of necessity, or something very much like them, is the best that can be achieved. 

With so many variables the probability of failure is extremely high.

I won´t reply to negative commentaries. Adrian the Atheling, has spoken. There is plenty of knowledge outside the only True Church, which is to be found here: www.trueorthodox.eu, but no wisdom. I am one of the very few people in it. That does not mean that I am wise about everything, of course. But it does leave open the possibility, and indeed probability in some instances, and certainty in many other cases, that I am wise about something, and correct about it (e.g.as the Nicene-Constantinoplean Creed says: the Holy Spirit proceeds from the Father. It does not say "the Holy Spirit proceeds from the Father and the Son". As decided by the 2nd Ecumenical Synod. And subsequently confirmed by all subsequent Ecumenical Synods, 3-10, the final one being in 1484).  The wisdom of the cross is foolishness to those perishing, as St.John Chrysostom said. Just in case you think you would be "right" to reject this wisdom.

 

Since left EU at mercy of Trump by Liz Webster 

https://fb.watch/xIj3Wl07Re/

Great news for consumers! Cheaper food! Stop moaning, be solution focused,  and instead create and lobby for large scale production and marketing cooperatives, common in lots of European countries, e.g. Portugal where I am. Lobby for restructuring tax breaks, and restructuring programmes for farms, etc to consolidate land (France had already had these for many decades when I did my French for Business AO level in 1982. The UK needs to tie down trade deals with the rest of the world, as soon as possible (ASAP), even if they are "unfavourable" so that its consumers benefit. That will then give it a Unique Selling Point (USP): Trade Deals with everywhere, run your global trading from here. Business centres need to be set up which literally straddle the Irish border (to take advantage of differences (there are some such which straddle the Dutch-German border) as well as Gibraltar-Spain, if possible, Channel Islands-French waters, UK Sovereign Base areas-Republic of Cyprus (and Turkish Federated Republic of Northern Cyprus on a Taiwan style deal)

I would add that the UK should generally reintegrate with the Single European Market, but should, as part of rejoining, belatedly accept the opt-outs from the Common Agricultural and Fisheries Policies, coming up with its own bespoke deal. If it doesn´t get everything it wants at first, then it should draw up a highly detailed list of Treaty and other changes, building them on the basis of extensive and detailed consultations, the next time a unanimous decision is required on something, anything (including the steady stream of accessions to the EU), is required.

Comment on:

FURY : "Lord of the lies" David Frost lying live on the BBC !! Grifter in Chief caught red handed.

https://youtu.be/dXGxtpNxH8Y

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"Lord" David Frost, failed Civil Servant, Remainer and Brexit grifting negotiator caught telling whopping lies about Brexit benefits, CPTPP trade deals and Donald Trump on BBC Any Questions.  Send copies of our latest book on Rejoining the EU to MPs, influencers and journalists.  Order via Amazon https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B0DSHBXLL1  60% author DISCOUNT copies (zilch commission to Bezos) available direct for multiple orders by e-mailing us at reboot@brexitrage.com 

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Response to Trump 2.0 Highlights:

At 5:20. Of this list, there was only one thing which Donald Trump was not entirely wrong on. It is well established, through mitochondrial DNA, that ALL members of our species, Homo Sapiens, are descended from one female Homo Sapiens, mitochondrial Eve.  We are also sexually, not asexually reproducing as a species. So, a male father would also be required. Commonly referred to as Adam. 

 

 

 

 

 

Response to Comment: Northern Ireland is still tied to the EU SM through the NI protocol. That has to go.

​ @Night.visions  No, it needs to be extended to cover the whole of the UK and also Gibraltar. Theresa May´s Backstop writ large, as it didn´t originally include Gibraltar. That way the whole of the UK will be back in the Single European Market for Goods, Agriculture and Fisheries (not services, but there is an equivalency recognition there (can be ended at 90 days notice). This has the bonus that it does not bring back free movement, but does get rid of the barriers for Goods, Agriculture and Fisheries, as well as solving the Northern Ireland-Great Britain internal UK border in the Irish Sea problem, the gripe of Unionists in Northern Ireland and many businesses there. Ireland will remain a phytosanitary unit, a separate one from Great Britain, which has all-Party support throughout Ireland, in both Eire (the Irish Republic) and in Northern Ireland.  Gibraltar would be joining the Single European Market for Goods, Agriculture and Fisheries for the first time, resolving a number of border problems with Spain, though others will rumble on.

Polling shows that the most common reason for people voting to Leave was wanting to end the Free Movement of EEA including nationals into the UK and Gibraltar. Interestingly when Nigel Farage was asked how Remain could have won the Referendum he responded instantly: by ending free movement [into the UK and Gibraltar]. Cameron only got a temporary opt out, not the permanent one achieved by EFTA and EEA member Liechtenstein, with the right of residence of other EEA (both EU and EFTA, including Switzerland disallowed under this). As an EFTA member Liechtenstein can do this in a way unilaterally in a way that EU member states can not. It can also, but has not so far, unlike Norway, which has opted out of about a quarter of them, opt out of EU single market standards for goods, agriculture and fisheries on a case by case basis, instituting customs checks to control imports and exports of things opted out of, which Norway has done for about a quarter of products. Something similar could have been for all or part of the UK and Gibraltar, following the precedent of Mount Athos, Greece, whose autonomy is explicitly preserved under Greece´s Accession Treaty to the European Communities. One way of doing this would have been to have negotiated a Canadian style "Notwithstanding clause" to suspend rights, renewable every 5 years, strongly supported and driven by Québec and its nationalists most strongly of all, and applied it to free movement.

Of course Brexit has been dishonest to the core. For a start, the overall process should be called Gukxit, because it was the British Crown Colony of Gibraltar and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland that have, jointly (and I would argue, highly dishonestly and illegally (with the whole of the EU as well as the UK acting highly illegally (nothing, it has to be said, has been properly legal in England and its successor states from the moment of Guillaume Le Bâtard´s illegal (on multiple grounds) "coronation" on December 25, 1066, other than what is covered, with a very broad definition, by the fact that "necessity knows no law".  Though joining the EEC and then the EU was necessary (for prosperity and general well being), "leaving" it in the manner that was done, is definitely not covered by "necessity knows no law"). 

Thomas Paine pointed out the necessity of "overthrowing the Norman yoke" in the 18th century. But this has still not been achieved, and therefore the edicts of the Norman Conquest and everytuhing after it, still apply in practice.

So, realistically, whilst still ultimately aiming to Rejoin the EU, we have to strive for improvement, bit by little bit, in practical terms. Extending the Northern Ireland Protocol to something like the Theresa May Backstop, covering the whole of the UK and Gibraltar, with Windsor Framework provisions extended to the whole of the UK, with a UK Parliament Stop supplementing the Stormont Stop as part of the deal and based on it. This should form part of a more positive and realistic approach the Starmer Government is gradually moving towards, a little bit of which was already starting to happen under both the Truss and Sunak premierships.  

on there (can be ended at 90 days notice). This has the bonus that it does not bring back free movement, but does get rid of the barriers for Goods, Agriculture and Fisheries, as well as solving the Northern Ireland-Great Britain internal UK border in the Irish Sea problem, the gripe of Unionists in Northern Ireland and many businesses there. Ireland will remain a phytosanitary unit, a separate one from Great Britain, which has all-Party support throughout Ireland, in both Eire (the Irish Republic) and in Northern Ireland.  Gibraltar would be joining the Single European Market for Goods, Agriculture and Fisheries for the first time, resolving a number of border problems with Spain, though others will rumble on.

Polling shows that the most common reason for people voting to Leave was wanting to end the Free Movement of EEA including nationals into the UK and Gibraltar. Interestingly when Nigel Farage was asked how Remain could have won the Referendum he responded instantly: by ending free movement [into the UK and Gibraltar]. Cameron only got a temporary opt out, not the permanent one achieved by EFTA and EEA member Liechtenstein, with the right of residence of other EEA (both EU and EFTA, including Switzerland disallowed under this). As an EFTA member Liechtenstein can do this in a way unilaterally in a way that EU member states can not. It can also, but has not so far, unlike Norway, which has opted out of about a quarter of them, opt out of EU single market standards for goods, agriculture and fisheries on a case by case basis, instituting customs checks to control imports and exports of things opted out of, which Norway has done for about a quarter of products. Something similar could have been for all or part of the UK and Gibraltar, following the precedent of Mount Athos, Greece, whose autonomy is explicitly preserved under Greece´s Accession Treaty to the European Communities. One way of doing this would have been to have negotiated a Canadian style "Notwithstanding clause" to suspend rights, renewable every 5 years, strongly supported and driven by Québec and its nationalists most strongly of all, and applied it to free movement.

Of course Brexit has been dishonest to the core. For a start, the overall process should be called Gukxit, because it was the British Crown Colony of Gibraltar and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland that have, jointly (and I would argue, highly dishonestly and illegally (with the whole of the EU as well as the UK acting highly illegally (nothing, it has to be said, has been properly legal in England and its successor states from the moment of Guillaume Le Bâtard´s illegal (on multiple grounds) "coronation" on December 25, 1066, other than what is covered, with a very broad definition, by the fact that "necessity knows no law".  Though joining the EEC and then the EU was necessary (for prosperity and general well being), "leaving" it in the manner that was done, is definitely not covered by "necessity knows no law"). 

Thomas Paine pointed out the necessity of "overthrowing the Norman yoke" in the 18th century. But this has still not been achieved, and therefore the edicts of the Norman Conquest and everytuhing after it, still apply in practice.

So, realistically, whilst still ultimately aiming to Rejoin the EU, we have to strive for improvement, bit by little bit, in practical terms. Extending the Northern Ireland Protocol to something like the Theresa May Backstop, covering the whole of the UK and Gibraltar, with Windsor Framework provisions extended to the whole of the UK, with a UK Parliament Αt 5:42. A picture of a whole American chicken in a can. It will be up to consumers whether they buy this, or not. If a trade deal is done with the USA. 

The reality is that the UK must now pursue independent trade deals. These are easier to do on a 1-1 basis, country-to-country, or 1 country to one bloc, than bloc-to-bloc.

Both types need to be pursued, however. That includes between the Trans Pacific block the UK is now part of, and the European Single Market, for example.

See: 

https://capx.co/post-brexit-britain-should-follow-the-eus-example-on-trade

We must stop viewing international trade as a zero-sum game

It has taken a quarter of a century, but the EU and the Mercosur bloc of countries comprising Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay (Venezuela is currently suspended) have, in theory, agreed terms on a trade deal. I say ‘in theory’ as the French and Polish governments are still opposed to the deal, and might try to scupper or delay it. Regardless, this is still a great achievement for both the EU and Mercosur and both sides should be congratulated – it also has a few lessons for the UK.

First, one of the reasons why it has taken such a very long time to reach a deal (and why one might not actually materialise) is because individual member states in both blocs have dragged their heels. This actually highlights one of the main benefits of Brexit. Critics of the UK leaving the EU rightly point out that the UK has less negotiating power as a result. While this is obviously true, Brexit does mean that the UK has more freedom to negotiate on its own terms and striking deals which more closely align with the its interests and speeding up the negotiations and implementation.

Second, it shows the need for the UK to continue entering into trade deals with other nations and blocs. The EU-Mercosur deal has the potential to be incredibly significant for the member states of both blocs and their inhabitants, and the UK should follow the EU’s example and aim for a similar deal with Mercosur. A UK-Mercosur trade deal would give our firms tariff-free access to hundreds of millions of consumers in South America, which would make the UK’s exports more competitive, increase profits for firms, create jobs and boost wages. Beneficiaries here would be the UK’s beleaguered car industry, which faces an uncertain future, as well as beverage producers. British farmers would also benefit if they are properly supported through export promotion – as an aside, it was disappointing to see that the Government has now scaled back its GREAT Britain campaign, which seeks to help UK firms to increase their exports.

Having an independent trade policy is probably the main ‘Brexit dividend’, so the Government should continue to strike new deals. This is particularly timely as the UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership comes into force from next week. While it may represent a modest economic boost in terms of its proportion of GDP, this is still a good thing – the UK will not only give firms greater access to some of the most rapidly growing markets in the world, it is also significant from a geopolitical perspective. The Government should relaunch negotiations with the United States for some kind of trade deal and make every effort to get a deal with India.

 Stop supplementing the Stormont Stop as part of the deal and based on it. This should form part of a more positive and realistic approach the Starmer Government is gradually moving towards, a little bit of which was already starting to happen under both the Truss and Sunak premierships.  

https://capx.co/post-brexit-britain-should-follow-the-eus-example-on-trade

We must stop viewing international trade as a zero-sum game

It has taken a quarter of a century, but the EU and the Mercosur bloc of countries comprising Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay (Venezuela is currently suspended) have, in theory, agreed terms on a trade deal. I say ‘in theory’ as the French and Polish governments are still opposed to the deal, and might try to scupper or delay it. Regardless, this is still a great achievement for both the EU and Mercosur and both sides should be congratulated – it also has a few lessons for the UK.

First, one of the reasons why it has taken such a very long time to reach a deal (and why one might not actually materialise) is because individual member states in both blocs have dragged their heels. This actually highlights one of the main benefits of Brexit. Critics of the UK leaving the EU rightly point out that the UK has less negotiating power as a result. While this is obviously true, Brexit does mean that the UK has more freedom to negotiate on its own terms and striking deals which more closely align with the its interests and speeding up the negotiations and implementation.

Second, it shows the need for the UK to continue entering into trade deals with other nations and blocs. The EU-Mercosur deal has the potential to be incredibly significant for the member states of both blocs and their inhabitants, and the UK should follow the EU’s example and aim for a similar deal with Mercosur. A UK-Mercosur trade deal would give our firms tariff-free access to hundreds of millions of consumers in South America, which would make the UK’s exports more competitive, increase profits for firms, create jobs and boost wages. Beneficiaries here would be the UK’s beleaguered car industry, which faces an uncertain future, as well as beverage producers. British farmers would also benefit if they are properly supported through export promotion – as an aside, it was disappointing to see that the Government has now scaled back its GREAT Britain campaign, which seeks to help UK firms to increase their exports.

Having an independent trade policy is probably the main ‘Brexit dividend’, so the Government should continue to strike new deals. This is particularly timely as the UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership comes into force from next week. While it may represent a modest economic boost in terms of its proportion of GDP, this is still a good thing – the UK will not only give firms greater access to some of the most rapidly growing markets in the world, it is also significant from a geopolitical perspective. The Government should relaunch negotiations with the United States for some kind of trade deal and make every effort to get a deal with India.

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Αt 5:42. A picture of a whole American chicken in a can. It will be up to consumers whether they buy this, or not. If a trade deal is done with the USA. 

The reality is that the UK must now pursue independent trade deals. These are easier to do on a 1-1 basis, country-to-country, or 1 country to one bloc, than bloc-to-bloc.

Both types need to be pursued, however. That includes between the Trans Pacific block the UK is now part of, and the European Single Market, for example.

See: 

https://capx.co/post-brexit-britain-should-follow-the-eus-example-on-trade

"We must stop viewing international trade as a zero-sum game

It has taken a quarter of a century, but the EU and the Mercosur bloc of countries comprising Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay (Venezuela is currently suspended) have, in theory, agreed terms on a trade deal. I say ‘in theory’ as the French and Polish governments are still opposed to the deal, and might try to scupper or delay it. Regardless, this is still a great achievement for both the EU and Mercosur and both sides should be congratulated – it also has a few lessons for the UK.

First, one of the reasons why it has taken such a very long time to reach a deal (and why one might not actually materialise) is because individual member states in both blocs have dragged their heels. This actually highlights one of the main benefits of Brexit. Critics of the UK leaving the EU rightly point out that the UK has less negotiating power as a result. While this is obviously true, Brexit does mean that the UK has more freedom to negotiate on its own terms and striking deals which more closely align with the its interests and speeding up the negotiations and implementation.

Second, it shows the need for the UK to continue entering into trade deals with other nations and blocs. The EU-Mercosur deal has the potential to be incredibly significant for the member states of both blocs and their inhabitants, and the UK should follow the EU’s example and aim for a similar deal with Mercosur. A UK-Mercosur trade deal would give our firms tariff-free access to hundreds of millions of consumers in South America, which would make the UK’s exports more competitive, increase profits for firms, create jobs and boost wages. Beneficiaries here would be the UK’s beleaguered car industry, which faces an uncertain future, as well as beverage producers. British farmers would also benefit if they are properly supported through export promotion – as an aside, it was disappointing to see that the Government has now scaled back its GREAT Britain campaign, which seeks to help UK firms to increase their exports.

Having an independent trade policy is probably the main ‘Brexit dividend’, so the Government should continue to strike new deals. This is particularly timely as the UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership comes into force from next week. While it may represent a modest economic boost in terms of its proportion of GDP, this is still a good thing – the UK will not only give firms greater access to some of the most rapidly growing markets in the world, it is also significant from a geopolitical perspective. The Government should relaunch negotiations with the United States for some kind of trade deal and make every effort to get a deal with India."

 

The UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPATPTP) came into force on December 15th 2024. 

President Trump has shown himself to be a man in a hurry to deliver on his manifesto, with his transition team helping to negotiate the Gaza ceasefire and hostage exchange agreement in conjunction with the outgoing Biden-Harris administration, taking effect just before Trump´s second inauguration. He is easily breaking President Franklin D. Roosevelt´s 1933 record for a flurry of executive orders. Speaking as a dual Canadian-UK citizen, a Brefugee Brexiled in the Beiras, Portugal, Trump has successfully forced Canada, and especially British Columbia, to clamp down on Chinese triads buying up Vancouver and massively inflating property prices and distorting the economy.

What he wants is fair trade, investment, and burden-sharing. Also to tackle Christophobia, which he has done, and the imposition of an aggressive LGBTQ+ woke agenda. It´s more of a rebalancing than anything else. Whilst I want to see the UK rejoin the EU, it´s most unlikely to do so in one bound, hitting six sixes off an over, so to speak. Much more likely to achieve this by hitting a series of singles, some doubles, the odd three, a few fours, and the very occasional six, to use an analogy.

There is a great opportunity to speed things up in terms of a trade agreement, as Donald Trump likes to do deals. He has many   faults, but is far more dynamic than the alternative. A real leader!